Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.030208 0.032961 0.035679 0.038560 0.041522 0.044473 0.047632
2024-12-22 0.024047 0.028450 0.032915 0.037759 0.042840 0.047993 0.053597
2024-12-29 0.020160 0.025655 0.031360 0.037660 0.044371 0.051262 0.058835
2025-01-05 0.016969 0.023220 0.029853 0.037300 0.045333 0.053666 0.062897
2025-01-12 0.014220 0.021004 0.028365 0.036756 0.045913 0.055494 0.066182
2025-01-19 0.011317 0.018376 0.026240 0.035357 0.045427 0.056056 0.067996
2025-01-26 0.010212 0.017725 0.026243 0.036226 0.047333 0.059118 0.072407
2025-02-02 0.008780 0.016567 0.025586 0.036286 0.048288 0.061094 0.075595
2025-02-09 0.007007 0.014846 0.024186 0.035433 0.048170 0.061847 0.077408
2025-02-16 0.006013 0.014028 0.023791 0.035678 0.049231 0.063849 0.080535
2025-02-23 0.004961 0.013039 0.023136 0.035581 0.049871 0.065356 0.083090
2025-03-02 0.003935 0.011979 0.022340 0.035277 0.050243 0.066538 0.085260
2025-03-09 0.003077 0.011174 0.021956 0.035599 0.051497 0.068885 0.088926
2025-03-16 0.001885 0.009677 0.020663 0.034851 0.051565 0.069962 0.091260
2025-03-23 0.001126 0.008684 0.019953 0.034761 0.052355 0.071822 0.094434
2025-03-30 0.000486 0.007618 0.019070 0.034412 0.052810 0.073273 0.097125
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.006539 0.018083 0.033884 0.053017 0.074414 0.099443
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005120 0.016484 0.032526 0.052206 0.074367 0.100407
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004904 0.016638 0.033369 0.053976 0.077233 0.104595
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004332 0.016200 0.033428 0.054796 0.078997 0.107535
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003409 0.015109 0.032600 0.054527 0.079498 0.109041
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003017 0.014848 0.032838 0.055521 0.081428 0.112132
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002524 0.014354 0.032744 0.056097 0.082863 0.114654